US Swing States: Trump Wins Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Ahead In All Others

Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, is gaining significant ground in the US presidential race against Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, signaling a remarkable political resurgence just four years after his departure from the White House.

Among the seven swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and North Carolina – Donald Trump has secured victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.

For several weeks, surveys have indicated a neck-and-neck competition between Harris and Trump. Trump, if elected, would become the oldest president during the inauguration, possibly the first president with a criminal record, and only the second to hold non-consecutive terms. Harris joined the race dramatically and belatedly after President Joe Biden exited in July. On the other hand, Trump, who faced two impeachment trials during his presidency, managed to survive two assassination attempts and a legal conviction.

Around the globe, the election is under close scrutiny, even in conflict-ridden areas like Ukraine and the Middle East.

NORTH CAROLINA

North Carolina’s 16 electoral votes have been clinched by Donald Trump once again. Despite Democrats’ optimism fueled by increased campaign spending, canvassing efforts, and Harris rallies, Trump has emerged victorious in the state for the third time, having also secured it in 2016 and 2020.

In the closing moments of the campaign, Trump made a high-velocity tour across North Carolina, visiting four cities within a span of four days. He wrapped up his campaign activities in Raleigh on Monday.

Initially, forecasts in the battleground state indicated that Trump held a 0.9-point advantage, with a lead of 48 to 49 percent in Emerson’s data, 47 to 29 percent in Morning Consult’s findings, and 47 to 48 percent according to YouGov.

Trump’s victory in Georgia solidifies his increasing momentum as he aims for a comeback that could have global repercussions. While Joe Biden narrowly secured Georgia in 2020, Republicans have dominated presidential elections in the state since 1996, with Trump’s attempts to challenge his 2020 defeat triggering a fierce political and legal battle culminating in his indictment there.

In a critical southern state where the largest minority voting bloc holds significant sway, both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump were vying for the support of Black voters. The outcome of this closely contested race, which may hinge on slim margins, has put a spotlight on the Democratic stronghold encompassing the majority of Atlanta. With 16 electoral college votes at stake, this region has a pivotal role in determining the victor. While Black voters typically align with the Democratic party, Harris must mobilize them in large numbers to secure victory in this tightly contested electoral battle.

PENNSYLVANIA

In a pivotal battleground state, Pennsylvania, Donald Trump emerges victorious over Harris. Despite both contenders extensively canvassing the state, Trump secured Pennsylvania’s 19 electoral votes, reclaiming it from his previous loss to Joe Biden in 2016 as he swept through the “blue wall.” Notably, Pennsylvania has been a crucial indicator of presidential success, with no Democrat clinching the White House without prevailing in the state since 1948.

ARIZONA

In 2020, Trump was defeated in Arizona by a narrow margin of 10,500 votes, marking the first loss for a Republican since 1996. There were allegations of foul play from some supporters, and during the 2022 midterm elections, armed individuals stood guard near ballot boxes to prevent any potential irregularities.

In the latest polls, Trump has a 2.2-point lead in the FiveThirtyEight average, with a 45 to 49 percent margin. Emerson shows him ahead at 48 to 50 percent, while YouGov indicates a lead of 47 to 48 percent for Trump.

NEVADA

In Nevada, Trump leads by 0.3 points according to the 538 average. However, the Times/Siena poll indicates Harris in the lead at 49% to 46%, with YouGov also showing Harris ahead at 48% to 47%. On the other hand, Emerson’s poll displays a deadlock at 48%.

MICHIGAN

In Emerson’s poll, Harris is slightly ahead with 48 percent compared to 50 percent. Meanwhile, in Morning Consult’s survey, she leads by one point with 48 percent against 49 percent. According to YouGov, Harris is at 45 percent and her opponent at 47 percent. However, in the New York Times/Siena survey, both candidates are tied at 47 percent.

According to various polls, Harris holds a slight lead over Trump in Wisconsin. FiveThirtyEight shows her ahead by 1.1 points, while YouGov indicates a 45 to 48 percent lead for Harris. The Times/Siena poll suggests a 47 to 49 percent lead for her. However, Emerson’s polling results show a tie at 49 percent each, and Morning Consult reports a slim one-point lead for Trump.